Yesterday, the British pound’s upper shadow of the daily candle reached the target resistance at 1.2547. The convergence between the price and the Marlin oscillator will try to push the pound so it can consolidate above this level. In this case, the nearest target is 1.2615, then 1.2684, and then 1.2715. The correction from this level, since the pair fell on July 14, will be 38.2%.
If the price can work within the 1.2799-1.2814 range, then the correction will be 50.0%. A consolidation below 1.2447 will push the pair to fall towards the support level at 1.2307 and break the convergence. This is an alternative scenario. On the 4-hour chart, the Marlin oscillator is in the uptrend territory. The pair is unlikely to start a sharp downtrend from the resistance at 1.2547.
However, even if the price repeatedly attempts to break above the resistance at 1.2547, we can’t ensure that it will succeed, as the MACD line is above it, reinforcing the level. The main events will unfold tomorrow when the US CPI for August is released.
*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.
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