Last Friday, the British pound rose above the resistance level of 1.2708 but fell short of the next target at 1.2773 by about 20 pips. This morning, the price has returned below 1.2708, potentially reversing from the peak level of August 30, 2023 (1.2745). This highlights the weakness of buyers, as the resistance at 1.2773 appears significantly stronger.
The Marlin oscillator must return to bearish territory to confirm a reversal into negative values. Attention should also be paid to today’s release of November Manufacturing PMI: declines are expected in the Eurozone and the UK, while the US index is anticipated to show improvement. Considering the overall downtrend, the target of 1.2612 remains viable.
On the H4 chart, the price and the Marlin oscillator show divergence. The price gravitates towards the support at 1.2612. A subsequent test of the MACD line near 1.2567 could follow, with the level at 1.2510 as the next potential target.
*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.
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