Yesterday, the pound made a big gain ahead of the currency market (122 points). The price overcame the signal level of 1.2030 and now it is aiming for the target level of 1.2155. On the daily chart, the signal line of the Marlin oscillator turned out to have made a false plunge under the graphical linear support (turquoise line).
The oscillator’s move into positive territory has now dramatically increased the odds. An important sign of the price reversal in the medium-term growth will be its consolidation above 1.2155, the final sign – over the MACD line (1.2315). But this, of course, is an alternative scenario. In current conditions, I don’t expect the pound to climb above 1.2155. If such growth happens, it is very likely to be false.
On the four-hour chart, the price has consolidated above both indicator lines, the Marlin has settled in the uptrend zone. We are waiting for the end of the pound’s bullish correction. The opposite signal, confirming the reversal in the medium-term decline, will be the price moving below the MACD line (1.1980).
*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.
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